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Spring sunshine, lighter evenings, the promise of warmer days ahead - what could be better? But with that comes the sinking realisation that soon we'll be peeling off our winter clothes to reveal white limbs and out-of-condition bodies. The temptation is to start totting up calories or rushing off to the gym, so many of us lack the motivation to keep going. So how would you feel if your failure to lose pounds from your hips meant that you lost pounds from your wallet?
Last week, the NHS announced that it is to launch a scheme offering financial incentives to overweight people. Those who sign up to the 13-month slimming programme, called Weight Wins, could be paid up to £450. However, these will not be the first people spurred to weight-loss by cash. So desperate are some people to lose weight that they are betting their way to slimness.
Diet-betting websites allow you to wager on your resolution to become thinner and they are the latest fad among slimmers. Fail to shed weight and your cashflow takes a serious hit. Really, it's a kind of self-punishment: yet Britons are joining in their thousands.
Kate Borden, 32, from Lancashire, signed up to one of the diet-betting sites, stickK.com, last November. She wanted to lose a stone in six months. “I just find it tough to motivate myself,” she says. “The only other time I had lost weight was when I had a bet with friends one New Year's Eve. The thought that it was almost a competition with myself and that someone else was the judge did it for me.”
After studying the “commitment contracts” of smokers trying to quit, two Yale University economics professors, Dean Karlan and Ian Ayres, began to think that the same approach might work for people trying to lose weight. Last year they launched stickK.com (slogan: Put a Contract out on Yourself) to “motivate people into meeting their lifestyle goals” - dieting, eating more vegetables and giving up booze - by getting them to sign a financial contract. The premise is simple: if they fail, they pay. “Simply put, it increases the price of eating badly,” Karlan says. “We know from studies that as the price of something goes up, people will consume less of it.” Karlan has put $50,000 at stake to help himself lose or maintain his weight.
The site is so popular that there are already 32,000 registered users - more than 1,000 in the UK. Users are set weekly goals and once they have provided their credit card details, they are charged a weekly sum (the amount is their decision) if they fail to meet them. Referees - friends, partners, colleagues - can be nominated to ensure that people don't cheat. Dieters pay nothing upfront, but if an unsuccessful report is made or if they fail to submit information within the 72-hour window they are given, then their cards are debited.
The incentive to succeed can be raised further by selecting StickK's “anti-charity” option, where your money is donated to a cause you hate. For example, someone who is anti-abortion could designate a pro-choice charity. “Negative reinforcement can help some people,” says Karlan. Dieters who accept the anti-charity challenge report the highest success rates - up to 85 per cent.
If putting up money is not for you, then you could always wager your reputation. “Post your goal and give us a list of friends' e-mail addresses. We will tell them if you succeed or fail,” says Ayres “The existence of a commitment option for ever changes the conversation. If someone fails to stick to a binding commitment, you are entitled to question whether he or she is sincere.”
Offering a financial incentive to people struggling to lose pounds is not entirely new. StickK.com has competition from fatbet.net (slogan: You bet your ass), in which dieters challenge each other and bet against them.
Several UK-based personal trainers offer a “money-back guarantee” to attract new clients. Dax Moy, based in North London, operates a no-result, no-fee policy at his gyms, and also charges new members a penalty fee if they don't reach a realistic fat-loss goal within 21 days.
“Part of the reason that it appeals is that, in many people's minds, personal training is potentially endless and expensive,” Moy says. “We want them to realise that they are paying for a result, not for an endless number of sessions.” The cynical might dismiss diet-betting as exploiting those who already feel vulnerable about their shape and weight. And how can it possibly work? Where the progress is self-reported, surely there are too many opportunities to lie? Even Karlan admits there is also a risk that some people may feel they don't need to live up to their own promises, even if they donate forfeited money to a worthy cause. The consensus among psychologists and medical experts is that the novelty soon wears off.
“An American review of the existing evidence showed that people with a financial incentive won't lose weight any more easily or quickly than other dieters,” says Andrew Hill, Professor of Medical Psychology at the University of Leeds. “However, it's different strokes for different folks. Human beings can be very fickle. If you make something too low-cost people lose interest in it. So, getting them to pay £100 for a diet might make some people at some times in their lives stick to it. But the chances are they will get bored of that, too.”
Other observers view it as a route to chaotic eating habits. Susan Ringwood, the chief executive of an eating disorders charity, B-eat, says that betting yourself to slimness is “potentially toxic”. Although she agrees that some people need some external motivation, Ringwood says that diet-betting websites promote risky behaviour.
“Even if the sites are born out of good intention, it could make vulnerable people more prone to developing eating problems,” she says. “We know that dieting doesn't directly cause eating disorders, but we also know that there is very high correlation between the two. People who develop anorexia or bulimia tend to be competitive, driven and highly motivated, so this kind of site might appeal to their personality and it could be a downhill slope.”
Karlan defends his programme, claiming that, unlike some sites, stickK.com aims to promote a healthy weight-loss of no more than 2lb a week. “We recommend weekly, not daily weighing and certainly don't advocate extreme dieting,” he says. “About 85 to 90 per cent of users fulfill their contracts.”
He also points to a study in the Journal of the American Medical Association last year, that found that people who had financial incentives to lose weight were more successful at dieting than those who did not.
Professor Kevin Volpp, a researcher in behavioral economics at the University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, compared two groups of dieters who had financial incentives with a control group. They found that the incentive of losing or making money was powerful, more so when a financial reward was not received until the end of a programme.
In the real world, though, things are tougher. So far, stickK.com has calculated that Kate Borden is 43.8 per cent towards her goal. She has until the end of May to lose her final 6lbs. Will she make it? “I have had to pay a few fines of around £15 to a breast cancer charity, but that's cheaper than a gym,” she says. “I started off really well, but in the end it still comes down to self-motivation. It has crossed my mind that I could fib and save money, but I wouldn't let myself do that.
“The chips are down now and I suspect the odds are against me.”
The power of incentive
1 Professor Julian Le Grand, chairman of Health England, recently said that financial incentives could help to reduce smoking, alcohol and obesity rates. Some NHS trusts are trialling such schemes. Smokers in Dundee are being offered £12.50 a week to spend on groceries if they quit, while people living in some areas of Birmingham receive shopping vouchers if they take part in healthy activities.
2 In Germany, social insurance contributions are reduced if people attend services such as smoking cessation, screening and dieting classes.
3 Last year, Professor Gary Charness of the University of California showed that people offered a financial incentive to attend a gym did twice as much exercise as those who weren't paid. Similarly, Newcastle University research suggested that people were almost 60 per cent more likely to increase exercise levels when given financial incentives.
4 In February 2009, a study published in the New England Journal of Medicine showed that smokers given financial incentives were significantly more likely to quit than those who weren't. Nearly 900 employees of a large multinational company in America were offered $100 for completing an education session, $250 for quitting within six months and $400 for abstaining for six months.
5 Professor Rob Harrison, a lecturer in legal writing at Yale Law School, has used commitment bonds to help students to overcome writer's block and laziness for a decade. Harrison asks students to provide him with cheques up to $10,000 in value and to authorise him to cash them if they fail to submit an essay on time. So far, he has never had to cash a cheque.
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