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There’s no doubt. For those who work in the City, last week was their 9/11. The assault on the twin towers of greed and capitalism looks like felling hundreds of thousands of workers in the months ahead, in a Trollopian saga that gets twistier and blacker by the day.
Notting Hill, in west London, where I have lived since I was a teenager, is in the eye of the money storm for it’s right here, in these storeyed terraces and crescents, and in these stuccoed mansions, that the big swinging dicks brought their millions in bonuses and – bankers went the neighbourhood.
Suddenly every car in the driveway was a Maserati or a Bentley and, in due course, a Prius, too. Fleets of vans double-parked in the streets while builders put in wet rooms, new kitchens, lifts, chill-out zones and media rooms and gardeners landscaped the outside areas and feng-shuied the windowboxes.
As for me, I carried on living my normal life in my lovely shabby house (and I promise, I don’t normally drive a Bentley wearing not much more than a huge rope of fake pearls – pictures always lie). Basically, I stood back and gawped and took notes as the neighbourhood took off like a jump jet around my ears.
When I was pregnant with my third child, the wife of a banker called to tell me that she was sorry I was leaving.
“I’m not leaving,” I protested. “But you’ll have to,” the woman insisted. “Your house [3½ bedrooms, semidetached] will be much too small for all of you.” Then she shuddered. “You’ll be like council house tenants!” It was at this point, 10 or so years ago, that I realised: Notting Hill didn’t do normal any more.
Let me take you back to the summer of 2007. I am playing lawn tennis next to a ladies’ four, who are thwocking the ball with elegant strokes that speak of thousands of dollars sunk into backhands in smart country clubs in Nantucket and the Hamptons, the Hurlingham or the Riverside.
They are talking in between rallies about the pool that one of them is putting in under their London house that’s cost twice as much as they had expected, because they are having to dig down another 20ft. “Mike’s now insisting” – indulgent laugh – “that it’s not worth doing unless there’s enough headroom to have a diving board.”
This is nothing new in my manor. Sir Ronnie Cohen, the founder of Apax and a Labour donor, is in the process of putting in a 50ft pool and steam room underneath his Notting Hill house, which is in fact three houses knocked into one. He lives in an area called Supermodel Central because Laura Bailey, Elle Mac-pherson and Claudia Schiffer all reside within mwahing distance. Come to think of it, an underground swimming pool is almost becoming the price of admission into the ’hood.
Anyway, swimming pool lady’s seemingly winning lob is returned by her opponent, who mentions her plans for an indoor squash court. But it is the woman at the net who finally ends this extended rally of one-upmanship with a vicious overhead smash.
“I’m longing for you guys to come to Warwickshire to the castle,” this lady, shod in immaculate tennis whites, confides in gloating tones to the entire club. “I’ve decided to put in a moat after all.”
Four months later. I am at a shoot a couple of hours north of London with a few hedge-funders. I am standing behind the peg, near enough for conversation but far enough away to avoid a faceful of shot, when my gun’s mobile beeps with a hot dinner invitation.
The hedgie curses softly, mentions that his driver has the day off (the implication being that this is most inconvenient, even when his boss has been in Lincolnshire for two days indulging in field sports). “I’m driving back to west London,” I cry, thinking how nice of me to offer. “You can come with me.”
“Thanks, but I’m good,” he says, lifting his mobile to his ear. I found out later that he had returned from the shoot by helicopter, either because he couldn’t be bothered to chat in the car or because he wanted to go back to Chelsea to change for dinner. Both entirely good reasons, but mainly, of course, because he could afford to and it was faster.
Charter a helicopter? Put in a moat? Fly the kids to the Maldives at half-term on a private jet? Take over an entire Michelin-starred hotel for your birthday or fly your 300 closest friends to the south of France for a party? Why on earth not?
In London 2003-7, I remind you, money was no object among the banker set. Located conveniently midway between the Tokyo and New York time zones, and with a Labour administration that described itself as “intensely relaxed about the super-rich”, not to mention distinctly unbothered about regulation, London became the world’s most profitable entrepôt for the money trade, while Notting Hill, to the west of the City, was the natural honeypot for their wives.
Drawn to the area by its excellent private schools (with deliciously Edwardian tailored tweed uniforms in the winter, gingham and boaters in the summer), by the vast acreage of private and secure communal gardens (reserved exclusively for property-owning residents or their tenants) and by its supposedly groovy-creative vibe, the bankers did not take long to annex Notting Hill to Manhattan.
And in the time, it seemed, that it takes for the Tube’s Central line to convey a financier from his Holland Park mansion to his desk at Canary Wharf, the “Amschluss” of my west London postcode was complete. Suddenly everyone either seemed to be American or working for an American investment bank.
On the Fourth of July, the Stars and Stripes hang from Victorian sash-windows, noisy fireworks go “whee” and explode in a cascade of light in the violet summer sky above the stately stucco terraces and men in aprons barbecue Oscar Mayer hot dogs on vast, gas-fired grills and serve Bud. There are Super Bowl parties, baseball games and pitching practice in Hyde Park at weekends.
At any one time, 65% of the housing stock available for rent was taken by Americans and boy, did they take the place by storm. British landlords were asked – no, told – to install power showers and security lights and new kitchens. Dry cleaners were told to stop losing clothes or they would be sued. Delis started staying open till late, so bankers on their way home could pick up some black cod and miso and steamed baby leeks for supper from the Grocer on Elgin if their wife was at her book group, or her choir, or a meeting to plan the school fete or a charity auction.
But that was then. And this is now. Last week the credit bubble popped. Lehman Brothers collapsed, Merrill Lynch got taken over – and even the hallowed names of Goldman Sachs (“on the rack”) and Morgan Stanley are threatened.
How much has changed in the bankers’ ’hood since the trading screens turned red and the television cameras showed pictures of weeping Lehman employees carrying tragic boxes of running shoes? Okay, let’s take a look-see around my neighbourhood to see how the bonfire of the bankers is affecting their home front of Notting Hell.
First up, I notice a lot more men than usual ambling up the Portobello Road in flip-flops and chinos on a weekday. In Tesco, in ritzy Holland Park Avenue, a new discount brands section (bleach, cornflakes, fizzy lemonade) has been placed front of store.
In Holland Park Starbucks, there are men at every table hunched over venti-sized cups of latte and The Wall Street Journal, BlackBerrys welded to their hands. They are wearing button-down shirts and suits. An hour later, when I return, they are still there. I know there are three Lehman casualties in the next road alone. I don’t know their names but I wonder if they are these men in Starbucks.
In the newsagent at the top of Ladbroke Grove, my old friend Mrs Punjani says she hasn’t known anything like it for 37 years. She pulls down an account at random on the screen of a customer who lives in Kensington Park Gardens, one of the swankiest billionaires’ rows in the royal borough. He is a great customer, an American banker, one of her best, with an average weekly spend of £160 on newspaper deliveries. He has just passed by in person to tell Mrs Punjani to cut The New York Times Monday-Saturday and its Sunday edition from his order. Oh yes, and the Financial Times Monday-Saturday. “He said he had no need to read about the financial situation any more,” Mrs Punjani reveals.
Lucy Kennedy, the owner of Happy Dogs, has just been informed that her services to walk two dogs for two hours an afternoon are no longer required and, at a stroke, she has lost a fifth of her client base. The owners are – or were – at Lehman Brothers. “You would have thought that, in the scheme of things, my daily rate of £17.50 wasn’t that much, but maybe those with the most money are the best at cutting corners,” she reckons.
At the Jackson-Stops estate agency in Portland Road, Marlene Kemp confirms that it’s tough at the top. “No one wants to buy, everyone wants to rent, and I know of two big properties on prime streets where the American tenants have left rather suddenly,” she tells me.
“There’s no activity on rentals between £3,000 and £5,000 a week. But one-bedroom and two-bedroom flats letting between £500 and £800 are popular with younger people at a lower level, and all prices are – you might say – very negotiable.”
I bump into the blonde American wife of an investment banker (his mantra is “Everyone in employment’s a winner”). She is looking skinny-fabulous. She always does. Which might be the moment to share confidences about City marriages and “trophy” wives.
My friends’ marriages are thankfully so far intact, as far as I know; but according to the law firm Pannone, the rate of inquiries by wives into husbands’ assets has risen threefold during the credit crunch, and no doubt some wives want to quit while they’re ahead. (As Sandra Davis, the head of Mishcon de Reya’s family department, has said: “When money looks like flying out of the window, love walks out the door.”) While the husbands were bringing home the bacon and spending more time on flatbed seats on transatlantic flights than in the marital bed at home, it was their wives’ job to look beautiful, rich and concerned about the environment at all times, while, of course, throwing glamorous A-listed parties and not being traded in for a younger, peachier model. Which is, trust me, a lot more work than it sounds.
Yes, these wives worked neither in the home nor outside the home, but their hands were full, even with the help of a full-time PA. Just keeping staff and two or three houses running, the social diary crammed with all the right parties in all the right places, a spot of light charity work, the children tutored and the holidays booked, not to mention the endless round of personal admin (ie, beauty treatments, blow-dries, facials, mani-pedi, trips to Beauty Works West, Beautcamp Pilates and much, much more) is a full-time job. And they were jolly good at it.
Clad in caramel cashmere, this American City wife is not thinking about trying to divest her husband of his assets while he still has some. Far from it. All she talks about is the damage to small businesses when the dollar-driven parts of the City take a big hit.
“All the services that British wives are loath to use, like sound consultants, spatial organisers, children’s room designers, florists, personal trainers, caterers, that have all mushroomed and multiplied to supply the Americans in London, are going to go because they are non-essential,” she says.
“Nobody feels sorry for the bankers but if you lose your job it hurts, whoever you are, however much money you’ve got. Charity’s going to suffer, too. It is those American wives who cut the cheques.”
At this point I have to stop and take a moment. I try to find it in my heart to feel sorry for the very men, who with their reckless greed and ambition and arrogance, not to mention the bonus bonanza that averaged $30 billion a year, helped to trigger this global financial crisis.
So I call a girlfriend of mine who is dating a very big cheese in one of the two US giants that are still standing (if either Morgan Stanley or Goldman Sachs goes under, there will be, shall we say, an awful lot of gleaming, freshly painted stucco real estate on the market). Her boyfriend spent most of last week closeted with Gordon Brown, saving HBOS by flogging it to Lloyds TSB, and existing on only a few hours’ sleep a night.
“I see the amount of work they do: it’s inhuman,” she tells me, after describing a week during which his mobile – set to vibrate – was buzzing so persistently that it was as if it suffered from St Vitus’s dance.
“They’re not so much masters of the universe as slaves to their clients, and they work bloody hard for very long hours and family life really suffers.”
But here’s the thing that, try as I might, prevents me from sobbing with sympathy. The lead dogs are still bullishly streaking across the altiplano of capitalism. It’s the rest of the pack that’s being devoured wholesale by market bears.
As I walk down Lansdowne Road, making calls, a thirtyish father leaves his £10m house and a little boy in the grey and red Wetherby cap and blazer hops into a Bentley Continental GT.
I speak to a yacht dealer with offices in Mayfair and St James who is at the Southampton boat show. He tells me that his order book has never been fuller and he has just taken orders for two £20m, 46-metre yachts “with all the toys” for delivery in 2012.
Then Ben Elliott of Quintessentially, the top people’s valet service, tells me what we already fear – that economic meltdown is “only affecting people further down the food chain”, and that in times of uncertainty the flight to quality actually helps the very-top-end type outfits such as his: “Many people are doing very well out of banks failing.” (Yes, I know. I sat next to a nice, quietish New Yorker at dinner not so long ago who made a $3 billion profit by calling the sub-prime slump correctly.)
Then the American wife calls to say that she has just heard that a guy she knows has decided to ditch his private jet, not because he can’t afford to keep it but because it looks bad. “When your stock portfolio is crashing and all your friends are losing their jobs, you don’t get such a kick out of it,” she tells me. “He is beyond rich and always will be.”
Back home I chat to a neighbour in shorts who baled out of the City a couple of years ago. He is pouring with sweat and I wonder if he has been on a run. We stand in the middle of our communal garden and gaze around at the emerald lawn, the gleaming paintwork, the tidy box hedging and the scented white planting.
“These are dark days and it’s going to get darker,” he says, “but round here” – he gestures to the five-storey semi-detached residences, where Filipinas toil in laundry rooms, colour-coding underwear – “the super-rich will always be fine.
"These guys bought their houses ages ago with one year’s bonus. As ever, it’s the little people who will suffer. The senior managers, they’re set for generations.”
As he says, dark days. I’m not sure if he knows it, but my neighbour is echoing the inaugural words of Franklin D Roosevelt, who famously referred to “dark days” as he tried to guide the United States through the last national economic catastrophe. When FDR spoke, gold was being taken out of banks and the New York stock exchange and the Chicago Board of Trade had closed, as had banks in 32 states.
Things aren’t as bad as that, yet. But they could be and the only guys who are sitting pretty are looking down on the wreckage from the top of a cash mountain. The truth, that will be unpalatable to many to hear, is this: the senior guys in their forties and fifties, the ones who tell me over dinner that they are “the David Beckhams of the financial world”, have salted away so many millions that, according to one analyst, “their families won’t have to work for a thousand years”.
But for almost everyone else in the capitalist system, from bank employees to pensioners, it’s all messed up. Unless you’ve been short selling, anyone with any assets is down. It’s not surprising that people feel devastated, angry and deceived.
As for me, well, for the first time since I moved to W11 in 1978, I feel a batsqueak of schadenfreude about the bonfire of the bankers, but also a surge of something akin to relief that I have neither stocks, shares, a pension, luxury car, nor cash to lose. All I’ve got is a mortgage to pay.
The message from the Notting Hill front line of the crash of 2008 is neither a borrower, nor a lender, nor even a saver be. Travel light. Open a Post Office saver account or buy Damien Hirsts, as something pickled in formaldehyde seems to be a safer store of value than a high street bank right now.
The moneychangers have fled from their high seats in the temple of civilisation. But the masters of the universe are still – for the moment – as safe as their flash houses in Manhattan, the Hamptons and Notting Hill.
Rachel Johnson’s novels Notting Hell and Shire Hell are published by Penguin, £6.99
High maintenance: the outgoings of a banker’s wife
Notting Hill mansion £5m-£10m
Sports car £70,000
Holidays £100,000 a year for trips each half-term, annual skiing break and summer jaunt
Entertainment £50,000 a year for dining out, dinner parties, theatre and concert tickets
Clothes £35,000 a year
Private school fees £75,000 annually, based on three children at £25,000 each
Private club membership £3,000 a year
Twice-weekly shop at Planet Organic £26,000 a year
Nanny £30,000 a year
Household staff £60,000 for cleaner, gardener, PA, etc
Hair £5,000 a year (weekly blow-dry at £50 and monthly cut and colour at £200)
Facial £1,800 a year
Spa treatments £4,160 a year for massage, Botox, skin therapies etc
Personal trainer £13,000 a year (five weekly sessions at £50 an hour)
Dog walker £6,300 a year (£17.50 a day)
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If these 'masters of the universe' have made so much money while the future taxpayer is to be tapped to fix their mess, why not increase their taxes? Then at least they can share the pain with the rest of us - a property tax is one that they wouldn't easily evade, for example.
MB, Edinburgh,
To Lucy Kennedy, owner of Happy Dogs. If your former clients have lost their jobs, perhaps they are less trying to save £87.50 a week. (A not insubstantial amount.) But it is more that as they don't have to be at work each day, THEY CAN WALK THEIR OWN DOGS!!!
A O'Brien, London,
To be fair you can get the Central Line to Mile end and make a not unpleasant walk to Canary Wharf or change to the DLR or go a little bit further to Stratford and get the DLR from there.
Mikko, Drumnadrochit, Scotland
1) The Central Line doesn't go to Canary Wharf.
2) Isn't it odd that certain nationalities / societies can be lampooned, but not others? Try replacing 'American' references for 'Indian'. Or Nigerian. You won't be allowed to - yet all areas overtaken by foreign groups deserve this scrutiny, no?
barry, london,
The super-rich in London still have to contend with the physical criminals that surround us all.
Their actions will not have reduced the number !
As the UK lurches towars a third world economy, we'll probably see even the rich suffering from crime instead of if merely being an inconvenience
cap, london, uk
They sound even worse than Hugh Grant and the Welsh bloke.
Bill Peter, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
The game's up my dear!
Charles Levi, Notting Hill, London, UK
Comparing last week to 9/11 is absurd. While this is a difficult time and people will need to re-adjust their lifestyles, no one lost their friends, family members, and colleagues in a terrible terrorist attack. So, no, last week was not their 9/11.
Robin, London, UK
Presumeably Nick Leeson is now innocent
jeff, newport, UK
I think I'm having second thoughts about socialism. Maybe, it's not so bad after all....
Joseph Wright, Seattle, US